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An appreciation-lean market without the demand pressure to back it. The rent math runs thin.
What would change this read: a price correction (median already +2.9% YoY) or rent growth lifting rent-to-price toward 0.8%/mo would move this ZIP toward a cash-flow story. inventory, −0.9% YoY, is the number to watch.
The median listing price is up 2.9% YoY while the median home got up 13.1% bigger, so value per square foot is down 5.6%.
Min/max come from the active-listing pool; the median comes from Realtor's separate listing set — the two are not subsets of each other, so the median's position relative to the tiles above should not be read literally.
At the median, a $499K purchase rents for $2,050/mo: 0.41% of price per month against the 1% rule's 1.00%.
Not shown: 1 BR (rent only, no matching sale price), 6 BR (sale only, no matching rent).
Sales here take about 28 days longer to go under contract than rentals (median across 2 property types).
Not shown: Land (sold here, not rented).
U.S. Census ACS characteristics for ZIP 27712 itself, not its parent county.
Renters hold 9.8% of this ZIP's 9,551 occupied households, on a median household income of $91K.
| Measure | ZIP 27712 | Durham County | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Household Income | $91K | $82K | +$9K |
| Below Poverty Level | 7.4% | 11.5% | -4.1% |
| Median Age | 44.40 | 36.10 | +8.30 |
| Total Population | 24,299 | 332,353 | -- |
| Avg Household Size | 2.52 | 2.25 | +0.27 |
| Owner-Occupied | 90.2% | 55.5% | +34.7% |
| Worked From Home | 21.6% | 22.9% | -1.3% |
| Mean Commute | 25.70 | 22.60 | +3.10 |
Higher or lower is not itself good or bad — it describes the neighborhood, not the investment.
ZIP-level figures come from ZIP Code Tabulation Areas, which approximate but do not exactly match USPS ZIP codes. A missing value is suppressed or unavailable at this sample size, not zero. Estimates for 2019–2020 use the 2010 ZCTA boundaries and 2021–2024 the 2020 ones, so a step between those two years may be a boundary change rather than real movement.
County population is up 0.9% to 332,353: residents under 18 are up 0.4% and those 65 and over are up 4.2%.
County median household income is $82K, 11.5% of residents are below the poverty level, 22.9% work from home.